ÐÇ¿Õ´«Ã½

Skip to main content

'The year of cuts': Senior economist's prediction for 2024, after Bank of Canada decision

Share

The Bank of Canada held its key interest rate at five per cent, however it warned that it's still worried about the risk of inflation. One economist says although he expects cuts are coming in 2024, nothing is "preordained."

"This will be the year of cuts," David Macdonald, a senior economist at the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives, told CTV News Channel on Wednesday. "The question is, when do they start and how quickly do they proceed?"

Macdonald also cautioned that growth projections "remain quite low," part of an ongoing trend with Canada's "overall economic picture" – a byproduct that continues to put pressure on consumers.

"We've seen very little, almost no economic growth whatsoever last year," he told CTV News Channel host Marcia MacMillan. "There's no indication that we're going to immediately see growth at the start of this year."

When are cuts coming?

With the Bank of Canada indicating that rate cuts will be coming in 2024, Macdonald says the timing won't have been "pre-decided" and decision-makers will be examining the data, "just like everybody else."

"This is very much a fluid situation," Macdonald explained. "They're not committing to those types of things… and I wouldn't expect them to."

Concern over wage increases

With growth projections in Canada remaining stagnant, Macdonald said he thinks that the Bank of Canada remains concerned with wage increases among workers, who are "clawing their way back from inflation."

"The Bank doesn't like that," Macdonald warned. "It does not want to see people getting raises and getting back to where they stood prior to this inflationary period."

However, despite the expectation that wage gains will need to slow before any rate decrease, Macdonald said he also thinks that "relatively large" interest rate cuts are needed soon to avoid a recession.

"We'll see whether that happens though, in the spring."

CTVNews.ca ÐÇ¿Õ´«Ã½

The province's public security minister said he was "shocked" Thursday amid reports that a body believed to be that of a 14-year-old boy was found this week near a Hells Angels hideout near Quebec City.

Shamattawa RCMP are searching for a missing six-year-old boy who hasn’t been seen since Wednesday morning.

B.C.'s police watchdog is investigating the death of a woman who was shot by the RCMP after allegedly barricading herself in a room with a toddler early Thursday morning.

Quebec Premier Francois Legault is calling on the Bloc Quebecois to topple the Trudeau government next Wednesday and trigger a federal election.

Local Spotlight

They say a dog is a man’s best friend. In the case of Darren Cropper, from Bonfield, Ont., his three-year-old Siberian husky and golden retriever mix named Bear literally saved his life.

Paleontologists from the Royal B.C. Museum have uncovered "a trove of extraordinary fossils" high in the mountains of northern B.C., the museum announced Thursday.

The search for a missing ancient 28-year-old chocolate donkey ended with a tragic discovery Wednesday.

The Royal Canadian Mounted Police is celebrating an important milestone in the organization's history: 50 years since the first women joined the force.

It's been a whirlwind of joyful events for a northern Ontario couple who just welcomed a baby into their family and won the $70 million Lotto Max jackpot last month.

A Good Samaritan in New Brunswick has replaced a man's stolen bottle cart so he can continue to collect cans and bottles in his Moncton neighbourhood.

David Krumholtz, known for roles like Bernard the Elf in The Santa Clause and physicist Isidor Rabi in Oppenheimer, has spent the latter part of his summer filming horror flick Altar in Winnipeg. He says Winnipeg is the most movie-savvy town he's ever been in.

Edmontonians can count themselves lucky to ever see one tiger salamander, let alone the thousands one local woman says recently descended on her childhood home.

A daytrip to the backcountry turned into a frightening experience for a Vancouver couple this weekend.

Stay Connected